It depends which “World Cup” you mean (men’s, women’s, U‑20, cricket, rugby, etc.). Since people usually mean the FIFA Men’s World Cup, note that the next one is 2026, so there isn’t a men’s FIFA World Cup “this year” (2026 is hosted by the U.S., Canada, and Mexico).
Assuming you mean the next FIFA Men’s World Cup (2026), the teams with the best chance typically come from the small set of consistent top performers:
Leading contenders (most likely)
- Argentina: Defending champions with a strong competitive culture and depth.
- France: Elite talent pipeline and tournament-tested; often a favorite in any bracket.
- Brazil: Historically strong with high individual quality; tends to be in the mix.
Strong challengers
- England: Deep squad and good recent tournament results; can win if form and knockout execution align.
- Spain: Technical identity and strong young core; ceiling is very high.
- Germany: Rebuilding, but still a nation with the structure and pedigree to surge at tournaments.
Wildcards (can win with the right run)
- Portugal, Netherlands, Italy (if qualified), Uruguay.
Why it’s hard to pick one team
A World Cup winner is heavily influenced by:
- The draw/bracket (who you meet in the knockouts)
- Injuries and form during a short window
- Set pieces, penalties, and variance in single-elimination matches
If you meant a different sport/tournament, the “best chance” list changes a lot—posting the specific World Cup (sport + men/women/year) would let people answer more precisely.